Construction is one of the most energy-intensive sectors in Europe, accounting for as much as 40% of energy consumption and 36% of CO₂ emissions. In an era of global climate challenges and increasingly restrictive regulations, sustainable construction is no longer an option—it is a necessity. However, in Poland, only 16% of construction companies have set specific climate goals, which shows that the industry still has a long way to go before it can achieve a full transformation.

The production of modular homes in Poland has already reached a significant scale, but most of them are currently exported, mainly to countries where this technology is more widely recognized and the market has been developing for much longer. Demand for prefabricated buildings on foreign markets is generated primarily by the German market.

Modular construction – a response to the challenges of the housing market

The modular construction market in Poland is growing fast, becoming a more and more attractive alternative to traditional building methods. With limited growth potential in residential construction, prefabrication is gaining importance thanks to its speed, lower costs, and technological flexibility.

Key data and trends

• In 2023, approximately 103,300 single-family homes were completed (a decrease of 11.4% y/y).
• The number of permits and notifications issued for the construction of single-family homes amounted to over 90,500 (-22.4% y/y).
• For the second year in a row, there was a more than 20% decline in the number of permits—the 2023 result was more than 40% lower than the record-breaking 2021.

Factors driving the growth of prefabrication

• High housing prices and limited supply are stimulating demand for cheaper and faster-to-build modular buildings, especially in the single-family segment.
• The housing gap in Poland is estimated at 1.5–2.0 million apartments, and the percentage of people living in overcrowded premises is nearly 34% (more than twice the EU average).
• The growing importance of having one’s own garden and the experience of lockdown are directing the attention of individual investors towards modular solutions.
• Eco-friendly multi-family housing – the zero-emission trend is motivating developers to choose prefabrication, which reduces waste and CO₂ emissions.

National Recovery Plan – a boost for the commercial segment

• The time pressure to complete investments by the end of August 2026 favors the choice of prefabrication and modules, which enable projects to be completed on time.
• EU funds and the National Reconstruction Plan stimulate investments in fast construction technologies.

Value and forecasts for the modular construction market

• After a period of slowdown, double-digit market growth is forecast for 2025–2026.
• The implementation of projects under the National Reconstruction Plan (KPO) and growing housing needs will be the key drivers of growth.

The structure of the modular construction market in Poland

Podział według technologii prefabrykacji (2023)

• System 2D: 58,1%
• System 3D: 41,9%

Podział według materiału konstrukcyjnego (2023)

• Drewno: 57,5%
• Stal: 28,3%
• Beton i keramzytobeton: 14,2%

Segmentacja odbiorców

• Klienci indywidualni najczęściej wybierają drewniane moduły 2D ze względu na najniższy koszt inwestycji.
• Deweloperzy i inwestorzy komercyjni preferują technologię betonową do realizacji budynków wyższych niż cztery kondygnacje.

Podsumowanie – prefabrykacja przyszłością polskiego budownictwa

Prefabrykacja i budownictwo modułowe odpowiadają na kluczowe wyzwania rynku: deficyt mieszkań, presję kosztową, potrzebę szybkiej realizacji inwestycji oraz rosnące wymagania ekologiczne. Szybkość montażu, niższe koszty i elastyczność technologiczna sprawiają, że segment ten ma przed sobą perspektywę dynamicznego wzrostu – zarówno w budownictwie mieszkaniowym, jak i komercyjnym.

Hume’s Institute to wiedza. PMR Market Experts to doświadczenie. Gdy łączymy siły – Ty zyskujesz przewagę konkurencyjną. Zobacz, jak możemy wspierać Twój biznes.

Hume’s Institute to wiedza. PMR Market Experts to doświadczenie. Gdy łączymy siły – Ty zyskujesz przewagę konkurencyjną. Zobacz, jak możemy wspierać Twój biznes.

Szymon Jungiewicz

Head Construction Market Analyst

Rynek budownictwa modułowego w Polsce

Analiza rynku i prognozy rozwoju na lata 2024-2029

Dowiedz się więcej o raporcie